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Topic: avatar opening
Spook
Posts: 27407
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
some noob posted that avatar would return a loss
i cant find the thrad, but i did find this
AVATAR - finished the weekend with an opening gross of $77M in the US and $165M overseas for a weekend total of $242M, exceeding expectations thanks to positive reviews and word of mouth. Also getting rave reviews is the guacamole I made for tonight’s party. (variety)


asif it would return a loss
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trog
AGN Admin
Posts: 28785
Location: Brisbane, Queensland

well it cost $500m to make by most reports I've read, so it still has a ways to go

edit: apparently that $500m figure is a WAG so who knows
Spook
Posts: 27408
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
its an opening weekend, im pretty sure it will do fine
trog
AGN Admin
Posts: 28786
Location: Brisbane, Queensland

its an opening weekend, im pretty sure it will do fine
well, maybe you could wake us when you've found out how much it cost otherwise it's a bit of a snorefest :P
ravn0s
Posts: 8966
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
it didnt do as well as it could have in america because of an epic snow storm that stopped people from going to the cinemas. apparently it could have made another 20-30
million.

but yer i think it will make a profit.

last edited by ravn0s at 21:10:52 22/Dec/09
tequila
Posts: 4926
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
50% in only 2 days, I personally like those odds
Spook
Posts: 27409
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
i was running of 500m to make, ill go find what it really cost
épic™
Posts: 2334
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
$500m is just NYT's best guess at production + marketing + other random bulls***. the offical budget was $230m

epic prediction: avatar will gross > titanic at the box office and become the highest grossing film of all time.
ctd
Posts: 8042
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
It will make 500 easily by the time it finishes running.

Wikipedia links say:
Budget $237,000,000
Gross revenue $241,571,046 (so far)
infi
Posts: 14736
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
of course it will outgross titanic. this movie is awesome sauce and the main characters live (mostly - no spoilers). xD
tequila
Posts: 4927
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
WHAERE R UR SPOZILER TAGZ MAEN?!@!@
natslovR
Posts: 6439
Location: Sydney, New South Wales
That's barely more than double what it cost to make terminator 2, and with five perent inflation and so many years past since then I can't count, it's not that bigger deal.

I'm sure they'll jimmy it up so it makes a loss so they can rip people off and avoid paying tax.

greazy
Posts: 2552
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
haha what the hell, I never knew titanic held the record for the highest grossing movie of all time. 1.8b? amazing.
Hogfather
Posts: 4579
Location: Cairns, Queensland
Sci-fi without an existing following is a hard sell for an opening weekend.

140M US domestic is the current biggest opening weekend of all time, recently won by the Twilight f*****ry brigade. For Avatar to come half-way to Twilight is pretty good given that it doesn't have legions of stupid people adoring it for no good reason..
ravn0s
Posts: 8968
Location: Brisbane, Queensland

140M US domestic is the current biggest opening weekend of all time, recently won by the Twilight f*****ry brigade.


err no its not. the dark knight is first with 158m US followed by spiderman 3 with 151m. new moon is third.

i think it will be a while before anything reaches the 1.8b that titanic has. the second highest grossing movie of all time is return of the king at 1.1b. thats a f***ing 700m difference :/

last edited by ravn0s at 22:49:59 22/Dec/09
Reverend Evil™
Posts: 17127
Location: Wynnum, Queensland
It won't beat Titanic.

Back then people were stupid and a majority of Christian groups asked for a version of Titanic to be censored - no swearing (dunno if there was any) and no sex scene with Leo and Kate. Girls watches it for Leo.

There's no way in hell religious groups will watch this with all the action. It's a pity, but we live in a dumb society.
partyhat
Posts: 1284
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
this movie will have legs like titanic (though doubt as long as titanic). no way it will make a loss.
tequila
Posts: 4935
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
actually what someone needs to find out is (I'm too afraid to have this in my search history) how much the first twihard movie made
cause it's avatar II that will have a fan base and this

Sci-fi without an existing following is a hard sell for an opening weekend.


no longer applies

last edited by tequila at 00:53:35 23/Dec/09
Hogfather
Posts: 4580
Location: Cairns, Queensland
err no its not. the dark knight is first with 158m US followed by spiderman 3 with 151m. new moon is third.

You're right - I had recalled a news article I scrolled past about "140M biggest opening weekend" ... as if "third biggest opening weekend" is news? So much hate for twilight.

Looks like Avatar beat twilight for opening weekend? Not bad considering Twilight had a pretty strong following from the books and Avatar is all new IP!

last edited by Hogfather at 00:52:37 23/Dec/09
greazy
Posts: 2554
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
teq if by twihard then:
42 The Twilight Saga: New Moon Summit Entertainment $634,698,319

it actually topped movies like casino royal and hancock.
tequila
Posts: 4940
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=twilight08.htm


Opening Weekend: $69,637,740


HeardY
Gaelic newb
Posts: 17051
Location: Sydney, New South Wales
There is also this site

http://www.the-numbers.com/movies/records/


specifically - http://www.the-numbers.com/movies/records/#weekend
Zaphod
Posts: 394
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
Biggest opening weekend for a film that's neither a sequel, remake or direct adaptation. Impressive start for sure. It'll get close to $1 billion worldwide, easy.
Dan
Special Text
Posts: 9864
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
They'll probably make half of that from just the blu-ray discs that are bundled with 3D capable TVs when they start to roll out mainstream.
sLaps_Forehead
Posts: 4621
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
some noob posted that avatar would return a loss


I think that was me. Although I think I said it would break even, dunno can't remember, but I'm more than happy to be wrong after seeing Avatar.

However I based my prediction on the insane cost of Avatar ($hitloads) and the fact that it is a new Sci-Fi genre with no dedicated fanbase like say Star wars.

In comparison to say Titanic, Avatar looks on paper to have a narrower demographic. As much as most of us wanted to spew when Titanic got all gooey lovey-duvvy millions of women around the world went and saw the movie multiple times, and that it was really made the big bucks for Titanic.

I just couldn't see that happening again with Avatar.

Also whilst I thought Avatar was a good movie, I don't really have any desire to go see it again. I might by the DVD when I can get it in the bargain bin for $9.95 but that's about it.
On top of that I really can't recommend it to certain people. I mean sure I can bang on about it to my mates and rellies that are around my age but some people I know just 'don't get' Sci-Fi and it would be a waste of my time recommending it them.

Anyway that was the basis of my prediction.
Zaphod
Posts: 395
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
In comparison to say Titanic, Avatar looks on paper to have a narrower demographic. As much as most of us wanted to spew when Titanic got all gooey lovey-duvvy millions of women around the world went and saw the movie multiple times, and that it was really made the big bucks for Titanic. I just couldn't see that happening again with Avatar.

The key point is word of mouth. That's what it'll keep it in the cinemas for a (relatively) long time and slowly build the box office returns.

I'm sure there's fanboys out there that'll see it multiple times anyway.
HeardY
Gaelic newb
Posts: 17056
Location: Sydney, New South Wales
If it hasn't hit the billion mark after the first month (maybe two) then it's not going to hit it. It won't stay in cinema's as long as Titanic did, so it needs to make it's money ASAP
infi
Posts: 14746
Location: Brisbane, Queensland

conversely though heardy, it will have a much bigger circulation on dvd and blu ray than titanic did given they are more prevalent now. revenue comes from all forms of presentation, merchandise etc.
HeardY
Gaelic newb
Posts: 17057
Location: Sydney, New South Wales
very true.

The figures in the above links are box office totals, I thought?

I'd like to see the numbers if they included all revenue steams.
infi
Posts: 14747
Location: Brisbane, Queensland

oh yeah they may be but i am talking about all-time highest grossing figures would include all revenue
ravn0s
Posts: 8973
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
it will probably lose a bit because of sherlock holmes and chipmunks 2 (will be big with the kids) getting released this week.
fpot
Posts: 16717
Location: Gold Coast, Queensland
Jesus there is no way this movie will outgross Titanic not even Dark Knight did.
Dan
Special Text
Posts: 9868
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
If it hasn't hit the billion mark after the first month (maybe two) then it's not going to hit it. It won't stay in cinema's as long as Titanic did, so it needs to make it's money ASAP
Interestingly though, IMAX was already betting big on it back in May. They've pegged it in for a 3 month run, which is pretty damn epic for IMAX.

http://www.cinemablend.com/new/Avatar-To-Take-Over-IMAX-13238.html

That article points out that Star Trek was only in IMAX for 2 weeks (not sure how long Dark Knight ran for though).
ravn0s
Posts: 8980
Location: Brisbane, Queensland
yer its in imax until alice in wonderland comes out, but they are willing to push alice back if avatar is still going strong
system
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